Bayesian Networks
A
B
J
M
Burglary
John
Mary
Alarm
P(b, a, j, m) = P(b) . P(a|b) . P(j|a) . P(m|a)
P(b
0
)
P(b
1
)
0.99
0.01
P(a
0
| b)
P(a
1
| b)
0.99
0.01
b
0
b
1
0.05
0.95
P(j
0
| a)
P(j
1
| a)
0.99
0.01
a
0
a
1
0.4
0.6
P(m
0
| a)
P(m
1
| a)
0.95
a
0
a
1
0.1
0.05
0.9